Is the 'End of Oil' On the Horizon?

OpEd by Star-Telegram staff writer Jack Smith reviews Paul Roberts The End of Oil and concludes that while some of peak oil theorists may be overly pessimistic, we would be fools to ignore the concerns they have raised.

Published: 25-Mar-2005

"The last time the United States got really serious about energy efficiency -- after the 1974 oil price shocks -- U.S. oil use fell so low that OPEC was nearly wiped out." -- The End of Oil: On The Edge of a Perilous New World, by Paul Roberts, 2004.

"Civilization as we know it will come to an end sometime in this century unless we find a way to live without fossil fuels." -- Out of Gas: The End of the Age of Oil by David Goodstein, 2004.

"A permanent and irreversible decline in world oil production would have both economic and psychological effects. So who is paying attention?" Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage by Kenneth S. Deffeyes, 2001.


Visits to China, India, Malaysia and Pakistan are significant because the trip spells out the Saudi Kingdom's Look East policy, representing a new reorientation in its foreign policy that was heavily tilted toward the West.

The worst two scenarios suggest a drastic decline in output to 875,000 barrels a day by the end of 2007 and to just 520,000 a day by the end of 2008.

Bush said he envisioned a future in which a plug-in hybrid car could drive 40 miles on a lithium-ion battery, then stop at a filling station for ethanol, a fuel usually made from corn, similar to HyMotion Prius pictured below.


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