Debate Centers on Oil Reserves

Opposing views on oil's future debate whether Hubbert's curve is predictive or simply descriptive...

Published: 15-Dec-2004

FRANCISCO -- The subject was oil: how much of it is left and when the world's supply will run out.

And when a panel of experts sought to explore the topic at the normally low-key meeting of the American Geophysical Union here, the message became ominous and the discussion heated.

T he experts, including Caltech's V ice P rovost David Goodstein, often disagreed with one another's claims, sometimes even contradicting each other.

Goodstein, who recently authored "Out of Gas: The End of the Age of Oil,' Ken Deffeyes of Cornell University and Amos Nur of Stanford University argued that oil and other fossil fuels are finite resources that will eventually run out, most likely within the next quarter century.

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