2025: Year of the Battery Singularity?

The point where batteries replace gasoline but at lower lifetime costs, is the singularity point where they completely replace combustion engines.

Published: 28-Jan-2014

Ramez Naam, author of The Infinite Resource: The Power of Ideas on a Finite Planet, recently explained that lithium-ion batteries have a fifteen year history of exponential price reduction. Between 1991 and 2005, the capacity that could be bought with $100 went up by a factor of 11. The trend continues through to the present day.

SolidEnergy calculates that its materials could be used to make battery packs that cost $130 per kilowatt-hour, in line with U.S. Department of Energy goals for making electric vehicles affordable. Battery pack costs are typically kept secret, but estimates range from $250 to $500 per kilowatt-hour for packs in commercial electric vehicles.

The 85 KWh battery pack for a Tesla S would go from $20,000 to $40,000 down to about $11,000.


Battery researcher testing materials.

Battelle and Vorbeck Materials Corp. pen commercial licensing agreement to utilize Vor-X graphene technology to market for use in consumer portable electronic and medical devices, tools and electric vehicles.

Toyota Energy Management System can store 10 kWh of energy and weighs 2,160 lbs.(980 kg).

The first systems will go on sale this April and will tip the scales at 2,160 pounds – almost as much as a 2012 Prius.

Elon Musk with Space X Falcon launch vehicle.

While Boeing says it has the situation with its 787 Dreamliner lithium batteries 'under control', Musk willing to share Tesla team's experience with Panasonic nickel-cobalt-aluminum lithium-ion batteries.


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