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Nuclear power plant cooling towers
Thirty-nine percent of all water withdrawn from the environment is used to cool thermal electric power plants, equal to the amount used to irrigate agriculture in the United States.

The Energy & Water Nexus



By EV World

Sandia National Laboratories' Dr. John A. Merson addresses Toyota Sustainable Mobility Seminar


Open Access Article Originally Published: October 11, 2008

Few of us think about water when we turn on a light switch or drive our cars, but water -- lots of it -- is very much a part of our energy picture whether we're talking about running cars on biofuels or electric power, the proposed "fuels" of the future.

Those are the findings of Sandia National Laboratories 'Energy & Water Nexus' research group, reported Dr. John Merson at the Toyota Sustainable Mobility Seminar in Portland, Oregon las month.

The following video is the third in EV World's series featuring experts in energy, water and urban planning who Toyota invited to address two "waves" of journalists. The purpose of the event was to provide insight into what factors the company see as important in their strategic planning process.

Dr. Merson's presentation highlights the critical link between the energy sources we use on a daily basis, or are looking to as substitutes for our current heavy reliance on petroleum, and the amount of water needed to make that energy available to us.

While it is now widely recognized that biofuel production, especially that requiring heavy irrigation of agricultural food crops, consumes unsustainable amounts of fresh water, the amount of cool, fresh water needed to run thermoelectric power plants is equally problematic, especially in drought-prone regions. This is especially critical in nuclear power plant operations where steam not only drives the electric generation process, but is required as a radiation safeguard should the plant need to be immediately shut down for safety reasons.

As Dr. Merson points out, only wind and photovoltatic solar consume virtually no water to produce electric power.

Any future plans to expand the use of nuclear power also must take into account the amount of fresh water each plant will consume.

Additionally, any shift to coal, whether for thermoelectric power production or for conversion into synthetic liquid fuels, also places enormous demands on water supplies. Merson notes that the amount of energy that will be required to remove and sequester carbon dioxide from coal-fired power plants will consume the power of every fifth plant built.

Dr. Merson concludes that while there are significant reserves of shale "oil" in the inter-mountain region of Colorado, Wyoming and Utah, there are serious concerns about where the necessary water will come from... a pipeline from Canada?

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34 comments so far...

11-Oct-2008
64333
   Phil... the problem -- and its a BIG ONE -- with fast breeder reactors -- and its why both Presidents Ford and Carter decided to reevaluate the whole reprocessing idea -- is they generate vast amounts of plutonium, which if we lived in a perfect world where everyone trusted everyone else would be fine. We'd have enough fuel for a thousand years, while gradually burning up our stockpiles of spend uranium fuel rods. The problem is we don't live in such a world.

It's all that proliferating plutonium that is -- in my book -- a serious impediment to going the fast breeder route. Here's what Frank von Hippel wrote in the May 2008 issue of Scientific American in his article entitled 'Rethinking Nuclear Fuel Recycling':

'The Reagan Administration later reversed the Ford-Carter decision on domestic reprocessing, but the US nuclear industry was no longer interested. It too had concluded that reprocessing to make sue of recovered plutonium would not be economically competitive.'

At a presentation I attended at Idaho Falls National Lab, the case was made for a new generator nuclear reactors, but when asked why we simply don't reprocess the fuel we have since it's still relatively rich in radioactive material? The answer was, it's just not economically competitive.

von Hippel instead favors sticking with the current, once-through system that keeps any plutonium effectively out of the hands of terrorists since its bound up with the spent U 238. The only way they could get to it is through -- reprocessing or as the plutonium that results from fast breeder reactors.

He's a nuclear physicist and I think his argument makes sense.
Posted by: Bill Moore


12-Oct-2008
64338
   Bill, thanks for your comments but I must somewhat disagree. Firstly, all reactors are "breeder" reactors in that plutonium is produced. Secondly, the difference is that todays reactors generate plutonium in the spent fuel rods which will then need to be transported to a storage facility, while the integral fast reactor concept fissions the plutonium and other transuranic elements much more completely and recycles spent fuel within the reactor facility using electropyroprocessing. The plutonium is never purified highly enough to be a significant proliferation risk and it never leaves the reactor facility but is simply returned to the reactor. This concept was not proven until well after the Reagan years.
Posted by: Phil Carlson

14-Oct-2008
64383
   Kurt, let's assume that the oil companies have held back solar, wind and geothermal in the United States. Why do you think that countries like Denmark, Germany and Japan have been equally unable to build viable power generation based on these renewables? None of those countries have any big oil companies that have held back renewables. All have spent billions of dollars on renewables. Yet the results have not been good.
Posted by: john

14-Oct-2008
64387
   Some of you guys absolutely astound me. You’re supposed to be EV proponents. With the H2 Fool Cell Vehicle Scam Busted – the Oil Interests are focusing on the Solar, Wind and Biofuels scams. This article is about the very serious Water Shortage facing the world. As stated by Merson, 80.6% of the U.S. freshwater consumption goes to irrigation, only 3.3% for thermal-electric power plant production – namely nuclear, solar thermal, geo-thermal, coal and natural gas. We need irrigation for crops to feed people, we don’t need water to produce nutty biofuels for fuel guzzling ICE vehicles. Biofuel is the Oil Interests favorite new alternative to clean, green electric vehicles. Biofuels are the enemy of the electric vehicle and they are the enemy of the starving people on this Earth – millions of children will die because of biofuels. Another argument used by Oil Interests in their vehement opposition to the Electric Vehicle, is that it moves pollutants from the ICEV exhaust to the Coal Power plant. Fortunately that argument is severely weakened thanks to clean, green Nuclear Energy – Nuclear is the friend of the Electric Vehicle. Use some common sense fellows.

The severe indictment of this article is about biofuels, not thermo-electric power, solar thermal and geothermal being the highest users of water per kwh electrical output. The average corn ethanol fueled ICE vehicle uses 64 gals of water per mile, mostly irrigation water, about 2 gals of water per mile of ethanol processing water. The average soya biodiesel fueled ICE vehicle uses 255 gals of water per mile, using Merson’s numbers. Compare that with the average Electric BEV, powered by Nuclear Energy, using the most water consuming evaporative cooling, uses ¾ gal of water per mile, about 1/100th of the corn ethanol vehicle and 1/400th the biodiesel vehicle. That millions of children will die, to fuel the biofuel vehicles, just adds misery to the madness of biofuels. So use your brain, nuclear is not a significant water user – biofuels are the real criminals. And we’re not counting the pollution caused by agricultural run-off – the ocean dead zones.

It takes 11 acres of corn to fuel the average SUV for one year in the U.S., according to Pimental, enough land to feed 44 people, vs 3000 kwh of electrical energy, worth about $51 of Nuclear Electricity, with average nuclear energy production cost of 1.7 cents per kwh in 2004 in the USA.

And nuclear can use gray or recycled water for cooling, and when near large bodies of water, it doesn’t need to use any significant amount of water for cooling, as it can use the ocean or large lake as a heat sink, as is commonly done. Ontario Hydro’s nuclear plants use the Great Lakes as cooling heat sinks, as an example. With coal it is a much more difficult problem, as you would have to transport millions of tons of coal to the power plant near the ocean vs 100’s of tons of nuclear fuel. And you can use air cooling on a Nuclear Power plant just as is used on large diesel generators, it just adds a ½ cent or so per kwh of electrical production. And nuclear is well suited to CHP, where the heat sink can be peoples homes in Northern areas or Industrial Process or desalination water facilities. Also, especially the newer small reactors, such as the Hyperion, Nuscale and LFTR can use ground cooling effectively. So water use for Nuclear Power is a big NON-ISSUE. Touted by Anti-Nuclear Religious Fanatics of Zero Integrity who could care less about Truth or Honesty, and will quite happily sacrifice a billion lives of the next generation, as long as their religious ideology is forced upon the poor – who will pay most heavily for their fanaticism.

The facts about Cooling Thermal Power Plants

The Definitive Analysis of the Cost of Solar PV, by Professor Borenstein at the University of California, School of Business

My calculations, using Pickens latest $10 billion Wind project data, put cost at $2,000 per kw-pk wind turbine purchase price = $8,000 per kw delivered plus $1,000 per kw ($2,000 to $3,000 per kw for the Mega-sized National Gore or Pickens Plans) delivered for the extra quadruple over-sized power transmission infrastructure, plus $1200 per kw delivered for the backup NG generator plus $800 per kw installation and road construction etc = $11,000 per kwe or kwth. That will increase substantially if major wind installations on the Gore or Pickens Plan level were to proceed since wind uses 15 to 40 times the raw material of nuclear and 30 to 80 times that of Nuclear CHP. You cannot produce that level of material without causing major shortages and rapid commodity price increases. Current Nuclear Construction costs for LWR's are $2,400 to $4,540 per kwe in the USA. Costs for the LWR's or ACANDU's are projected to drop to ~$1500 per kwe when production supply chains are fully established.

Comparative cost of Modern Power Plants, Nuclear, Coal and Natural Gas, in the United States

The beginnings of factory Nuclear Reactor construction:

The Hyperion 25 MWe and 70 MWth uranium or thorium hydride reactors are priced at $1400 per kwe and $500 per kwth, you couldn't beat that with anything on the market today including hydro. See:

The Hyperion Nuclear Reactor – what a little R&D can achieve

The Thorium Molten Salt Reactor

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) predicts up to 1203 GWe nuclear power capacity by 2030 or 35% of total world electricity production. Renewables could not even come remotely close to that, and that calculation neglects the important thermal CHP capabilities of the Nuclear Power and also I believe ignores the development of the new small reactors like the Hyperion and Nuscale.

World Nuclear Capacity could reach 1203 GWe by 2030


Posted by: Warren Heath


15-Oct-2008
64391
   Many errors in the comments above: - Having water, or not, in the nuclear core has nothing to do with a nuclear power plant's water needs, as that is determined by its thermal efficiency (i.e., Carnot efficiency). The thermal efficiency is mainly determined by the reactor's output temperature, which for water reactors (i.e., Boiling Water Reactors, BWRs & Pressurized Water Reactors , PWR) is ~300 C, ~500 C for liquid sodium (i.e., Liquid Metal Fast Breeder Reactor, LMFBR), ~725 C for High Temperature Gas Reactor (HTGR), and ~700 C for Molten Salt Reactors (MSR), REF, "Nuclear Reactor Engineering (1981), Pgs 741-772. In general, the higher the reactor temperature, the greater the thermal efficiency and the less water that will be used. Thus, HTGR and MSR reactors have the highest thermal efficiency, and using closed cycle gas turbines instead of steam, would have efficiencies of 40 - 55%, instead of the 34% of current BWRs & PWRs. HTGR & MSRs would reduce water use by 50% - 90%.

- The USA built 3 Liquid Metal Reactors (LMRs or LMFBRs), 2 of which suffered unintentional core melts. They also have positive void coefficients, which Chernobyl suffered from. This dangerous condition can be 'fixed' by flattening the core, but then the LMRs can not breed. These facts cause extreme investor caution, not to mention concern among those of us who understand nuclear reactors. It has also caused Japan and France, who had 2 of the most active LMFBR programs in the world, to abandon them.

- Renewables used about 5 times the steel and concrete of a nuclear reactor, largely because they are a more 'diffuse' energy source. Thus, total CO2 calculations should include materials too, and will be less favorable.

- The USA has over 100 reactors, the most of any country, but we did not standardize the design like France, and this caused nuclear energy costs to balloon, as progressing down the "learning curve" and economies of standardize construction and scale could not be realized.

- Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) constructed and operated 2 MSRs (ARE 1954 & the MSRE 1965 - 1969). In 1972, President Nixon fired ORNL's Director Dr. Weinberg for advocating MSRs over the Republican's chosen LMFBR. MSRs not only operate at high temperatures, they can not melt down. REF, Pgs 198 - 200, "The First Nuclear Era", by Dr. Alvin Weinberg.

- Nuclear reactors are not 'breeders of plutonium' if they do not use uranium nuclear fuel. Reactors that use thorium, and all can but the MSR was designed for and operates best on thorium, do not "breed" plutonium. They breed uranium-233 and the nonproliferation agent U-232, which Dr. Von Hippel knows quite a bit about.

- Admiral Rickover, his top nuclear engineer Dr. Radkowsky, convinced the Carter Administration to recore the nation's first commercial nuclear reactor (Shippingport) with thorium, and they created the world's first Light Water Breeder Reactor (LWBR). All reactors can be recored with thorium, which is 3x more plentiful than uranium. USA during 1990s sponsored recoring Russian Reactor (VVER) with thorium and military plutonium using Radkowsky's design, modified for plutonium. It was successful, and Brookhaven National Lab (BNL) & Purdue University have continued that research and work.
Posted by: Bruce Hoglund


15-Oct-2008
64394
   These are the facts to dismantle the nuclear power plants.
Posted by: John Hurt

15-Oct-2008
64395
   http://www.evworld.com/article.cfm?storyid=1552 This why we don't need nuclear power plants.
Posted by: John Hurt

11-Oct-2008
64331
   I think I am correct when saying that generation 4 liquid metal advanced fast reactors use far less water in that the moderator is not water, ie they don't depend on water to cool the core. They are intrinsically much safer than water moderated reactors. They also have the capability of utilizing the spent nuclear fuel that we have accumulated to generate electricity much more efficiently.
Posted by: Phil Carlson

12-Oct-2008
64335
   As an Agricultural Engineer I have been involved with irrigation and water supplies for some 40 years. I am also converting a 1974 MGB to electric drive.

Finally people in high positions are catching onto the fact that water and energy are inextricably entwined. That is wonderful. Scientific American just came out with a magazine (Sept 30th) which discusses this situation in some detail. However, the author of the water-electric power article in the Scientific American magazine did not mention the use of photovoltaic or wind generation of electric power.

This presentation does mention photovoltaic and wind generation and I commend the author and others who worked on this project. Simply put, if we want electric power and we want a system that is robust and that does not depend on imported raw materials we have to build photovoltaic and wind generation systems. This is actually not an option, it is a necessity. We do not have the water resources to make electrical power in other ways.

Peter Fynn
Posted by: Peter Fynn


12-Oct-2008
64342
   Wind and solar can be big in generating electrical power. But nuclear may have to carry the biggest load. As Phil Carlson points out, nuclear power technology has advanced, in spite of the fact that we largely abandoned it here in the United States. In my opinion, those who argue against nuclear power have a tough argument to make.

There are, unfortunately, no great solutions to our power and resource problems. We will always be pushing limits. Every form of electrical power generation has its advantages and disadvantages. None are a panacea.

Posted by: john

13-Oct-2008
64350
   REnewable energy doesn't waste water. Solar, Wind, Geo-thermal don't use water and even hydro which makes use of water is great and can produce more energy than we need. I prove it everyday by making more than I need and helping my power company.

Sure wind is more intermittent and that's where all the Millions of electric vehicles can store extra energy and give it back when needed. It all work together in and EVworld !
Posted by: jim stack


13-Oct-2008
64360
   Jim, I'd be a little careful about touting solar and wind as the answer to our energy needs. Take a look first at the experience in Denmark and Germany.

Denmark has the highest proportion of electricity-generating windmills to its energy demand. Yet it also has, even subsidized, the highest electricity prices and the highest carbon output per kilowatt of any of the European countries. Much, and sometimes all, of the electricity generated by the windmills of Denmark is sold to Norway at below hydroelectric prices. Norway uses the Danish power and keeps its water behind its dams for later use.

Germany also heavily subsidizes wind and solar power. Yet Germany will build several coal-fired power plants to meet demand for electricity. Even with these new plants, plans to mothball all nuclear power generation in Germany look likely to be delayed further, and then shelved.

Compare that with France. France has the cheapest electricity in Europe, with the lowest carbon output and the least pollution of air and water. It has had some problems with radioactivity. All have been minor.

Of course, nuclear power does have its problems, including use of water. But those problems can be addressed. The problems of wind and solar are much harder to address. No solutions have been proven to work anywhere in the world.

I don't know anyone who argues that renewable energy sources like wind and solar should not have any role in our future energy picture. That role may be anywhere from a walk-on extra to a speaking part or even to a supporting role. But unless something drastic changes, renewable energy will never be able to perform a starring role.

Posted by: john

14-Oct-2008
64374
   John Spradley, what part of the world do you live in? Are there times during the year when you get little solar power? What do you do at night? Or during bad weather?
Posted by: john

13-Oct-2008
64347
   Nuclear power plant construction and decommissioning are too expensive to consider. It does not make a profit when the cost of construction overruns,service repairs,decommissioning and environmental pollution are considered.It would employ many more people and spread the energy all over the states if the electrical power was generated by green technologies. No one even mentions the fact that the nuclear plant always needs to be built next to clean water and it could be contaminated by radioactive waste and heated water.No mention about any size nuclear accidents not being covered by any liability insurance by the corporations runnung thenuclear power plants.We are on our own when the radioactive poison reaches us during an accident,and accidents do happen.
Posted by: John Hurt

14-Oct-2008
64369
   Nuclear waste performed a starring role in Provance,France by leaking into their lake. The nuclear power industry can fool some of the people some of the time but they can't fool all of the people all of the time. The nuclear power industry is heavily subsidized by governments and assumes no responsibilities for accidents. The nuclear power industry does operate on a profit margin. It is infinitely less expensive to rebuild a green energy technology system then to decommission a nuclear reactor.
Posted by: John Hurt

14-Oct-2008
64371
   You're right, nuclear power is far from perfect. If anything, it is the lesser of evils.
Posted by: john

14-Oct-2008
64373
   Our roof-top solar electricity powers our house, EV, and even recycles water! Our 40 year old central air produces about 8 gallons a day of condensate, which we collect and use in our PV and EV batteries. The excess is used to wash windows and clothes, and water plants. Locally distilled water is $2 per gallon, and our A/C cost would be about $0.50 per gallon using grid power. Given sufficient energy we can offset some of the atmospheric water vapor, which is about the worst green-house gas. (We are not 'green', we just want to be self-reliant.)
Posted by: John Spradley

14-Oct-2008
64375
   Nuclear power currently provides roughly 20 percent of the U.S power need, what does Solar provide like one tenth of one percent. I would love to have a Solar setup on my roof but unless you own a sizeable house with a south facing roof and have 20 to 30 thousand lying around your out of luck. What do all of the people who live in Apartments or Condos do? I happen to live San Diego, a place that has plenty of sunshine but can count on one hand the number of people who I know or who I have heard of that have any kind of solar setup. What’s worst is that when we tried to build a large solar installation to the east of us, which is basically a desert, the Environmental wacko's filled lawsuits to prevent it. Apparently it takes up land the local desert tortoise might want to use. When we wished to build a wind mill farm in the mountains again the Environmental Wackos came out and shut it down, after all you might kill some birds. So what if Nuclear uses some water, here the power plant to the north uses water from the Pacific Ocean (not exactly running out of that anytime soon) and the one to the East in Phoenix uses recycled waste water taken from peoples sinks and faucets
Posted by: Bob Shafer

14-Oct-2008
64377
   1. make assembly line production of hardware for various sustainable energy harvesters (RES)

2. do this Cradle to Cradle fashion

3. create a mix of RES as to supply base load

4. connect through a super grid

5. connect super grid with local RES & smart grid (including EV, through V2G)

6. save an amount approx equal to what's lost in the Wall Street crunch by leap frogging coal, clean coal, nuclear, refurbishment of existing power generation. **there's no need for them, when following Bill's suggestion as to re allocate mass production capacity of Ford cs**

7. when in doubt1: think what your children and granchildren would like to inherit from you

8. when in doubt2: http://213.133.109.5/wb/pages/konferenz/wirtschaft/10000-solar-gigawatts.php (which generates water for direct consumption & irrigation, when connected to a sea water pipe line)

Emil Möller

Netherlands
Posted by: Emil Möller


14-Oct-2008
64378
   Here in the sunny San Fernando Valley of Southern California there are too few solar systems. I opted to buy used panels, a few at a time as I could spare the money, over 7 years. Sometimes I used a home equity loan. I had several goals: self-reliance for earthquake preparedness, weather-extreme grid-failure immunity (for a premature granddaughter), and fireproof roof shade. I remain connected to the grid to keep my batteries charged for emergencies, and for power when the sun cannot supply my load. My EV uses about 50% (40 miles per day) so I will still add panels until I can supply 80% of the house. My panels slope Southeast and are not optimum. I often get about 80% of their peak rating. www.evalbum.com/1749
Posted by: John Spradley

14-Oct-2008
64379
   I believe solar electric systems are oversold, discouraging many people. A small system to power a refrigerator, 2 compact fluorescent lights, a cell-phone charger, and a small TV would serve people well when power fails. No more spoiled food. Easily expanded. No generator or gasoline needed. The hardest part is motivation and the learning curve. Why depend on the government and your local utility for your well-being?
Posted by: John Spradley

14-Oct-2008
64380
   Thanks for the information on your solar setup, John Spradley. Sounds very smart. I live near San Francisco, and have been thinking of buying some solar panels. But as you say, some people have oversold them.

I heard of a rich guy up here in the Oakland hills who put in $250,000 worth of solar panels on an empty lot he owns next to his house. He uses the power for elaborate waterfalls and fountains. Fully subsidized by the government, of course. But not really the kind of thing that should be encouraged, in my view.

Posted by: john

14-Oct-2008
64382
   Nuclear proponents always fail to account for the full cost of nuclear: mining, health costs, roads, transportation, refining, storage, SECURITY, etc. Solar, wind and geothermal is simply cheaper, safer, easier, lower impact and is better in every possible way, except that it does not allow large corps (Oil Companies) to control it, manipulate it, or extract massive profits from an addicted user base. Solar/wind has an initial high installation cost (but still cheaper $/KWH than a nuclear plant) and requires a new national energy grid (which we need anyway!), but the fuel is FREE, there is no environmental or health cost to extracting the fuel, and there is no disposal problem or potential terrorist threats. It's absurd not to institute a crash national Manhattan-Project type conversion to solar/wind/geothermal. The only losers are oil companies, and they are not going to give up easily.
Posted by: Kurt Vonne

14-Oct-2008
64384
   John, Your arguement is old and does not work here. Go ahead and keep touting the misinformation about green energy verses nuclear energy. The lights at the nuclear power plants are dimming as we blog. There is a need for the peoples green energy and not the corporations' energy. People have had enough of the corporate greed and power to last several generations.
Posted by: John Hurt

15-Oct-2008
64400
   John Hurt, the problem is that the only real alternative to nuclear power is coal. Even as we invest billions into solar, wind and geothermal, the new power capacity they bring on line every year does not even keep up with increased demand, let alone replace any coal-fired plants.

Every year we burn more and more coal to make electricity. That trend line shows no sign of stopping (although that may change if there is a global economic collapse).

We should continue to invest in solar, wind and geothermal generating capacity, where they make sense. But to argue that they make nuclear power unnecessary makes no sense. To the extent Lester Brown makes it appear otherwise, I think he is deceiving people.

Posted by: john

15-Oct-2008
64401
   http://www.evworld.com/article.cfm?storyid=1552 This is why we don't need nuclear power plants. Posted by: John Hurt: Why can't Johnny read?
Posted by: John Hurt

15-Oct-2008
64409
  

‘…Thirty-nine percent of all water withdrawn from the environment is used to cool thermal electric power plants, equal to the amount used to irrigate agriculture in the United States…’

That is a stupid, moronic statement. It refers to water that is run through heat exchangers in thermal power plants, using the once-through cycle – these facilities use insignificant water, but expel the same water they take in at a higher temperature which is often a bonus to sea life in the area. The thermal power plants, especially including solar thermal and geothermal that use evaporative cooling, CONSUME the most water, about 2-3 litres per kwh, but do not circulate significant water from the environment. The above statement is equivalent to stating – ships and boats use more water than anything on earth because they take water into the prop and expel it out to the environment at high speed or fish farms use huge amounts of water – the water that the fish swim in – including fish farms located in deep ocean. An absolutely nutty statement.

‘…Renewables used about 5 times the steel and concrete of a nuclear reactor…’

Wind uses 460 MT per MWe delivered steel, and 870 m^3 concrete per MWe delivered

Vintage PWR Nuclear 40 MT per MWe delivered steel, and 190 m^3 concrete per MWe delivered

New Nuclear, like the Advanced High Temperature Reactor use 17 MT per MWe delivered steel, and 80 m^3 concrete per MWe delivered

These numbers come from a University of California, full professor reference on the materials input to wind turbines, a very reputable source and it in turn uses a solid citation, namely: S. Pacca and A. Horvath, Environ. Sci. Technol., 36, 3194-3200 (2002)

Professor Peterson lists material usage of Wind, Nuclear, Coal & NG

In addition, the Quadruple oversized Long Distance Transmission infrastructure, needed for wind energy will need about an additional 140 MT per MWe delivered in mostly steel but also aluminum for the power transmission line pylons and steel core, aluminum clad wire which is commonly 2.38 pounds per foot of aluminum, .309 pounds per foot steel. This will of course be much higher for any Gore or Mega-Pickens plan to transport huge amounts of plains Wind Energy to Eastern or Western markets. Wind & Desert Solar being an extreme example of Centralized Power Production.

If we are going to replace fossil fuels (90 quads out of 107 quads U.S. consumption), with renewable energy, primarily wind – the necessary expansion of wind energy would require massive development of mines, steel mills, materials factories, transportation of materials, and turbine factories, which in turn would require an enormous increase in the materials required above. Note that most of those materials are produced using fossil fuels at prices of typically 1 to 3 cents per kwh. What is the cost of those high energy input materials, like steel going to be when they must be produced with wind energy at > 12 cents per kwh? A positive feedback loop of price escalations will occur, which will inevitably lead to the collapse of our socio-economic system. The average American uses 11 kw of energy continuously (100 quads per yr / 300 million people / 8800 hrs). With the current cost of wind running $11,000 per kw that’s $121,000 of investment every 20-30 yrs per American, or $484,000 per family of four. And you think the $700 billion bailout was bad @ $9,300 per family of four – try 52 times that – quite simply impossible – unsustainable. The conclusion is apparent to anyone who has honestly analyzed the data – we have only two choices – Nuclear or Coal – pick one.

‘…with fast breeder reactors -- is they generate vast amounts of plutonium,…’

Concerning Fast Reactors, the Liquid Metal Reactors have been quite successful, the U.S. Integrated Fast Reactor showing excellent promise including being inherently safe, which was demonstrated before an international audience, when all reactor safety features were shut off including the sodium coolant pumps, and the reactor safely shut down. The IFR was killed in a most nefarious way by the owned-by-NG Clinton administration for political/corruption reasons. They do not generate plutonium, as standard LWR’s do, but actually consume the plutonium produced by LWR’s. With 99% fuel burn, the remaining nuclear waste is devoid of plutonium and the small amount left is valuable for Industrial, Agricultural and Medical Purposes – including diagnostic imaging and cancer treatment. What isn’t used is safe after 300 years in a tiny storage facility or best buried in deep seabed’s or oceanic Subduction zones. That they are not in widespread commercial use and have received little funding, is do to the cheap & plentiful supply of Uranium, that gives Utilities little incentive to invest in long term, high R&D costs. The entire situation is fundamentally based on the belief that we can happily rely on cheap fossil fuel imports from the Middle East, that Russia will always be a co-operative team player, that India, China and other developing nations will never use any more than a few percent of our energy consumption per capita, that Middle East rogue nations like Iran and Terrorist Groups like Hezbollah will never disrupt energy supplies, that countries like Venezuela and Nigeria will always be reliable energy suppliers, and of course, that Global Warming and Atmospheric & Water Pollution are nothing to worry about. With that attitude who needs to spend money on Modern Nuclear Technology (like after integrated circuits and microprocessors were invented)?

The Facts about Fast Neutron High-Burn (not Breeder) Reactors

The Integral Fast Reactor

‘…http://www.evworld.com/article.cfm?storyid=1552 This is why we don't need nuclear power plants. Posted by: John Hurt: Why can't Johnny read? …’

That is a typical pro renewables absurd and ridiculous article. Uses the typical fallacy of ignoring the 25% capacity factor of Wind ( < 20% in California) and pretending that the nameplate full capacity occurs all of the time. The 5.8 GW of installed Wind Capacity in Texas is actually 5.8 x .25 / 0.91 = 1.6 GW nuclear equivalent. In other words the Mega-Hype Texas Wind Capacity equals the capacity one typical sized Nuclear Power plant, woopedy-f’in-do.

John Hurt, your dishonest article, can be blown away by one picture, that compares the growth in the USA of all non-combustable energy sources, renewables look absolutely pathetic, compared with Nuclear, in spite of the Fossil Fuel Lobby financed boycott of Nuclear Technology over the past 25 years.

Graph of Renewables vs Nuclear & Hydro for the U.S. Energy Production from 1949 to 2006

The EIA 2007 Energy Outlook predicts Wind Energy in the USA to be 48.3 TW-hrs in 2010 vs 4392 total Electricity Production, 50.9 in 2015 vs 4721 total, 51.3 in 2020 vs 5037 total, 51.5 in 2025 vs 5395 total and 51.8 TW-hrs in 2030 vs 5797 TW-hrs total production. That is, the #1 new renewable, will not even meet 10% of the GROWTH in USA electrical energy production – NEVER MIND its negligible contribution to Total Energy Consumption – most particularly the highly unreliable, foreign debt increasing, terrorist funding, GHG emitting, fossil fuel imports.

EIA Energy Outlook 2008


Posted by: Warren Heath


15-Oct-2008
64411
   Problem as I see it, with little exception ,is most if not all of us are constrained by our own concept of reality as it relates to energy. We have Thomas Edison and Nicola Tesla to thank for our current energy system. We owe them credit but we should not continue to see our energy future and current energy needs through a telescope looking backward. Even a contemporary view of our energy has not really advanced much in real terms beyond the early 20th century especially if we ignore all the silly toys we seem to be enamored with. What we really need is a good set of wide angle energy binoculars. Every time I read these posts and those of a similar nature I become more convinced that we as a species are not predestined to continue far into the next millennium.The best way I can describe it is, as a species we have painted ourselves into an energy corner and we are way too fearful of taking a step backwards and perhaps damaging that which we have already created. To think that our current energy consumption patterns,no matter their source, in any way reflects a sustainable reality is sheer delusion.And to keep seeking a new paradigm that will allow us to continue as we always have is almost madness plus delusion. We keep talking about a NEED to produce more and more energy with hardly a passing mention of conservation. When I say conservation I'm talking about real conservation and not the inflate your tires or caulk your windows conservation. We have not even begun to take conservation seriously. I design and construct commercial scale solar PV systems for a living and I can tell you it is a constant battle to fight the almost insane PE requirements of current designs. They become designs that completely ignore the obscene amounts of embedded energy designed into the systems. Until problems like these are addressed, I'm afraid all of our efforts are like peeing in the ocean. It makes us feel all comforted inside but we are doing nothing to really address the problems.Just as an aside and good example,lighting constitutes an enormous percentage of our current load demands. I just designed and installed a new light that replaces my current 200 watt mercury vapor security light. You know the ugly,buzzy, washed out gray glow type that are ubiquitous in our wasteful country. Well at 10 feet it gives off 3.5 foot candles of the washed out light we have come to expect, and uses 200 watts to accomplish it. My new light, that has a cri close to sunlight, draws only 20 watts and puts out 4 foot candles at ten feet. It also lasts a minimum of 50,000 hours. That's a ten fold decrease in power consumption . Will America adopt a similar method of lighting with a vengeance? Probably not. Remember this is a country that actually considers McDonald's a restaurant,that drinks millions of dollars of high priced burnt twigs( Starbucks)and voted twice for a dry drunk who bankrupted our country. And as I said our species seems to have lost its survival instincts and may not survive into the next millenium?
Posted by: larry elliott

16-Oct-2008
64424
   Warren Heath. Read This Blakeslee Article: Nuclear Power: US $1.4 Billion 2009 budget, $44 billion spent so far The heavily subsidized nuclear industry died in 1979 when the Three-mile island and Chernobyl accidents made it painfully clear that the radioactive substances used were just too dangerous to be spread all over the map. Both accidents could have been much worse had a real meltdown occurred. Denial has become easier today as memories fade it is much easier to pretend there is no problem and get on board the "nuclear renaissance." It's very similar to the recent housing bubble (renaissance), which was only possible because memories of the previous housing bubble that burst in 1990 had faded. The federal government bailout from our housing bubble may cost a trillion dollars before we are through. Amazingly, the "nuclear renaissance" is built on the promise of a similar bailout included in the 2005 energy bill: Nuclear accidents will have a maximum liability to the builder of only US $10.9 billion. If there is a meltdown, taxpayers have been generously volunteered to pay for any excess damages! Sandia estimated that damages could reach US $600 billion but we are optimistic because our memories have faded since the last disaster. The 9/11 attacks showed us how easily a meltdown could be arranged by a well-aimed terrorist-hijacked airliner crash. In fact, if you're a terrorist, the possibilities with nuclear fuel and waste stored all over the map will be endless. The "nuclear renaissance" will be a bonanza for terrorists. A Safe Way to Harness Nuclear Power Nuclear elements in the earth are continually decaying, producing so much heat that the core of the earth is about 6000°C, hotter than the surface of the sun. In fact, 99.9% of the earth's volume is hot enough to boil water. We can generate all the electric power we need from that heat by simply drilling through the earth's crust and using water to carry the underground heat up to turbine generators on the earth's surface. This way we leave the dangerous radioactive elements where they are and simply use the heat they naturally generate to run our power plants. This may sound like an impossible dream, but it is already being done profitably, producing 10 gigawatts of electricity worldwide at costs competitive with coal. It is called geothermal power generation. The source of heat in geothermal power is the decay of uranium and thorium in rocks safely sequestered underground. It is crazy is to dig these dangerous elements out, concentrate them and ship them to dangerous reactors just to boil water to run generators. With geothermal power we boil the water by sending it down a well to the hot rocks. Steam comes out of a second well nearby and drives a turbine generator. Simple and safe! The steam is condensed and recycled, so water consumption is minimal. No pollution no dangerous waste and no fuel cost. What's the catch? Geothermal power is as cheap as coal in areas where the earth's crust is thin but drilling costs currently make it too expensive in most parts of the world. A breakthrough in drilling technology could make it practical everywhere. Geothermal drilling is expensive mainly because we are using technology developed for oil exploration. Geothermal power requires deeper, larger holes, often through hard rock. If just 5% of the US $70 billion in federal money already lavished on nuclear power had been spent on drilling technology, we could have geothermal power virtually anywhere today. Hydrothermal spalling technology is capable of drilling five times faster through hard rock but zero federal money is available for its development. Google recently made a US $11 million investment in this technology. No new nuclear power plants have been built in thirty years. The few plants now under construction are years behind schedule and billions over budget. Any plants in planning today will not be complete until at least 2020 and will be very expensive. With an aggressive drilling research program geothermal plants could fill our baseload power needs much sooner and at lower cost.
Posted by: John Hurt

16-Oct-2008
64438
   Larry, Conservation is laudable and helpful, Solar, Wind, Wave, Tidal and Geothermal all help. But will they replace fossil fuels? Will they save us from run-away Global Warming? Will they prevent economic disaster and mass starvation due to our reliance on foreign energy sources that are rapidly being depleted and are highly unreliable? The answer to all of the above is an EMPHATIC - NO!!! Only Nuclear, Electrification of Transport and Methanol based fuels will solve the above problems, all three of which fossil fuel interests avoid like they were the plague.

John Hurt, Geothermal is a long, slow and hard road to travel, judging by Iceland – the Geothermal Capital of the World – only getting 19% of its electricity from Geothermal, the rest from much more easy Hydro, in spite of the great advantage of CHP in a year round cold nation. Alaska should be Geothermal Capital of the USA, with the enormous advantage of geothermal CHP, and yet only gets a piddly 400 kw from Geothermal with another 20 MW planned. You say pump fresh water – from where? – into underground drill holes – returns as steam – condensed and recycled. Yeah, that’s what all highest water usage Thermal Power plants that use evaporative cooling do – problem is to dissipate the heat – basic thermodynamics – you need to evaporate water or send the heat to a large heat sink like a large body of water. Geothermal is the least efficient at that process, and requires more water than Nuclear Power Plants – again – its basic thermodynamics. The technology for Geothermal power is very simple minded, and well established, and drilling holes in the Earth as cheaply as possible – is well developed for the Mining Industry, Tunneling Contractors, Petroleum and NG industries. If it was as profitable as you claim, especially with considerable Renewable Energy subsidies, it would be a large power producer instead of being absolutely insignificant.

As for subsidies, Charles Barton will educate you on the truth about Nuclear Subsidies – the lowest of any major energy technology.

Nuclear is not subsidized and actually like France Finances the Government

More on the Trivial Financial Support of Nuclear Power from the US Government

‘‘…the civilian nuclear industry has in fact subsidized the Federal Government, and the net value of that subsidy is far greater than the value of all of the benefits that the civilian power industry has received through the Federal Government. If we subtract the $5.8 of R & D expenditures on Light Water Reactors paid by the Federal Government, we find that the Civilian Power Reactor Industry has given the government a net subsidy of $8.2 Billion. In addition unlike other energy technologies including renewables, the civilian nuclear power industry pays 100% of its tax obligations.…’’

As for subsidizing disasters, we our already doing that – the 30,000 Americans killed every year by Coal Emissions, the destroyed lakes, rivers and ocean regions by Corn Ethanol pollution, Coal & Oil Emissions, the 10,000’s of Americans (including thousands of children) killed by the Petroleum/Auto Industries shoved-down-our-throats Auto exhaust, the potential of 10’s of thousands of fatalities from Hydro dam failures, the destruction of coastal cities by GHG emissions from fossil fuels, the foreign debt and lost jobs due to fossil fuel imports, the Iraq and other Trillion dollar Oil wars – I could go on and on. Nuclear is the cheapest & safest form of Energy we have – by far.

John, don’t you ever stop to think as to why big Oil Companies such as British Petroleum, Shell and Chevron are inundating the media and on their websites about their financial support of Wind, Hydrogen, Solar and Biofuels, but no mention of Methanol, Electric Vehicles or Nuclear Power? It’s called Bait and Switch, a Sucker Trap as Old as the Hills, focus the Attention of Gullible Fools on Unrealistic Technologies that won’t put a dent in the World’s Fossil Fuel Consumption – it’s a Scam that just keeps working so well for them, and we pay pay the price.

And if you think Mr. Wind & Fossil Fuel himself – T.Bone Pickens has your interests at heart – check out his Proposition 10 Rip-Off Scam:

Pickens Scam: 10 to 50 G’s subsidy for NG vehicles, maybe max 4 G’s for some PHEV’s

More on Pickens thieving Scam, Methanol Series HEV’s have quadruple the efficiency of his NG vehicles

As a matter of fact, if the average American got all of his electricity over his lifetime from current Nuclear Power Plants, his total share of waste would fit into one Coke can, compare that with your alternative Coal power – same person would produce 68.5 tons of solid radioactive waste!. You offer no alternative to Nuclear except Coal – and a pretend renewable fantasy. It is proven that the US could have and can replace Coal with Nuclear within 30 yrs or less – France did it already with little effort. Germany and Denmark went on a super extreme effort, with unf’ing believable subsidies of up to $0.78 per kwh guaranteed for 20 yrs – incredible. They have desperately tried to replace fossil fuels and nuclear for 20 yrs now and failed absolutely miserably. Hey John, I’ll quite happily bury my Coke can under my trailer if you bury YOUR 69 TONS OF COAL RADIOACTIVE WASTE at your home. And I’m giving you a break, you don’t have to breath or bury the 100’s of tons of smokestack emissions that YOUR COAL PLANTS generate!


Posted by: Warren Heath


17-Oct-2008
64442
   I think the water use by power plants can be made a non-issue with dry-coolers, and is apparently the trend, as the following article shows: http://www.powermag.com/ArchivedArticleDisplay.aspx?y=2008&m=september&a=56-SR_PCD.xml I think John's comment #25 sums it up best, we can't wait for renewables, we have to make a giant dent in coal use, which is still increasing. They're even building coal plants in the Middle East, as reported on this website. The fallacy of John Hurt's comment in #24 is that the many proposed wind systems still will require huge amounts of new transission and fossil fuel backup until effective storage systems can be developed, refined, and then built on a gigantic scale. The some 80,000 MW of wind (~22,000 MW nuclear equivalent) that Lester Brown's article discusses will take decades to build, and even more to fully integrate into the grid. Yet it would have little if any reduction in Coal, mostly offsetting natural gas in stead. (We have ~443,000 MW of NG generation in US) The bottom line is we need both Nuclear and renewables. The cost of transmission and storage can be spread out over a few generations, reducing their cost at any one time. Just like Hoover Dam, which has paid for itself, and is now a cash cow, I expect that wind and other renewables will too, but that will take 50-70 yrs, just as it did. If that happens, then we can phase out nuclear, but not until then.
Posted by: Ruben Willmarth

25-Oct-2008
64614
   Warren. < quote.But will they replace fossil fuels? Will they save us from run-away Global Warming? Will they prevent economic disaster and mass starvation due to our reliance on foreign energy sources that are rapidly being depleted and are highly unreliable? The answer to all of the above is an EMPHATIC - NO!!! quote.>Warren there really is no yes or no answer for this energy problem. The real problem as I see it,is perfectly reflected in the statement you just made. You are not only thinking inside the box,you are chained and shackled firmly inside the box and actually seem to like it. Nuclear power should be seen for what it is; A sad expensive joke. It's like air conditioning. It's a solution seeking a problem. A band aid created to cover up initial poor design. What was it Einstein said? ANY INTELLIGENT FOOL CAN MAKE THINGS BIGGER, MORE COMPLEX, AND MORE VIOLENT. IT TAKES A TOUCH OF GENIUS -- AND A LOT OF COURAGE -- TO MOVE IN THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. We have created an entire society built on the back of oil and coal. Until very recently they were as cheap as dirt,they were plentiful and pollution was not seen as a problem. We created a two headed beast with a voracious appetite. When created we thought it would always be a benign obedient pet. Now it runs out of food and wants to eat us. Solution? Quit feed it. And what other bit of wisdom did Einstein give us? WE CAN'T SOLVE PROBLEMS BY USING THE SAME KIND OF THINKING WE USED WHEN WE CREATED THEM.So start digging and chipping Warren. Break those chains. Come on out into the light. You may find you like it out here in what is now thought of as an intellectual wilderness. Of course a century ago, heavier than air flight was in the same wilderness. Oh cool! Look at that new idea over there. Come on y'all. Put the thinking caps on and we may tame this beast after all. Or at the very least find something other than ourselves to feed him with.
Posted by: larry elliott

15-Oct-2008
64404
   That article by Lester Brown is interesting, John Hurt. Well written and optimistic. But I think it is deceptive.

Solar, wind and geothermal are not able to replace any current fossil fuel or nuclear power plants. They are not even able to keep up with the global growth in demand. New coal-fired power plants are still coming on line all the time. And that will not change in the foreseeable future.

By the way, how is your electric Porsche coming?

Posted by: john

16-Oct-2008
64412
   It is hard to forecast the future, Larry. Sometimes the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that we, as humans, seem to have wired into us a gloomy outlook on the future. We worry about a lot of things, the great majority of which do not happen.

I'm 50 years old and I can remember all kinds of crises that tied people's stomachs up in knots. One in particular that bothered me a lot was the thought of nuclear warfare. I thought sure the world was going to be destroyed in a nuclear winter. Didn't happen.

Looking back in history shows us how this works. There are lots of doomsayer prophecies that did not come to be. Read Paul Ehrlich's books and articles from the 1970s. Or any of a number of articles in the late 1990s about the coming Y2K bug.

Or even "How Long Will the Oil Last?" from Scientific American. In that article, the author chastise the Detroit carmakers: "The burden falls upon the engine. It must adapt itself to less volatile fuel, and it must be made to burn the fuel with less waste . . .. Automotive engineers must turn their thoughts away from questions of speed and weight . . . and comfort and endurance to avert what . . . will turn out to be a calamity." The article appeared in 1919.

So I applaud your efforts to save energy with innovative light fixtures and conservation. But will it matter? Hard to say. But odds are, it won't.

Posted by: john


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