 |
|
EV WORLD EXCLUSIVE ARTICLE |

Gas prices at filling station near EV World editor's home in Papillion, Nebraska as of 21-April-2006. According to Pentagon consultant Milton Copulos, if the 'hidden costs' were included, the price would be well over $11 a gallon.
|
The Hidden Cost of Our Oil Dependence
By Bill Moore
A one-on-one conversation with Milton Copulos, president of the National Defense Council Foundation.
< Previous Page | << To Start
Open Access Article Originally Published: April 23, 2006
"At the Congressional level, we're getting interest." He added that he's also encouraged by the level of interest from various state officials, which is where he believes much of the change has to take place first. "The states are… the incubators of democracy."
We wrapped up the interview by my asking his forecast on oil and gasoline prices. He sees it's possible, though not probable that oil will go to $100 a barrel in two years. Depending on this year's hurricane season, the price at the pump on a national average could be $3.50 by mid-summer.
Add in the hidden costs and that $75 a barrel of oil today really cost all of us $480, he concluded.
Welcome to the future!
Be sure to listen to our complete interview using our web-based MP3 players, or feel free to download the file to your computer for transfer and playback on your favorite MP3 device. This interview will also be available through Apple's iTunes podcast service.
(1) The United States is considered the oldest, longest-running modern democracy, but India could, in fact, lay claim to being the largest with a population more than three times that of the U.S.
END STORY
|
| Times Article Viewed: 11706 |
|
|
|
Reader Comments
A valid email address and confirmation is required before your comment can be posted. Comments not confirmed within
24 hours are automatically deleted.
10 comments so far...
06-Nov-2006
36463
| |
Dear Sir. Big Oil is in charge. As long as they have any say in Washington the price of gas will always go up until someone puts a gun to their head and say enough is enough. We have plenty of oil. In fact oil is not needed. All we need is something that will burn like gas to put in our cars. We have 1000's of things that will do exactly that with out the need of drilling for oil. The problem is that the wealthy in america will go broke unless we subsidize them because they have all their money invested in oil. They would rather burn America to the ground before they spend their own money on other fuels besides gas!
Posted by: matt hood
|
|
23-Apr-2006
19298
| |
Hopefully the politicians consider the fact that targeted incentives of the types discussed in this article "pick the winners".
It is difficult to effect deployment of high fuel efficiency vehicles. It is even more difficult to do it with incentives in a way that doesn't overly reward (encourage) poor solutions and under reward or penalize (discourage) better solutions. That's because, the designers of the incentives don't have the answers.
This is why high fuel economy mandate is so good a solution. It forces the people who can figure out how to, and who need to make the investments.... to actually put there efforts toward figuring it out and make the investments. They won't do it on their own, there's too much uncertainty. Target the end problem, higher fuel economy.
But fix the problems, like mandating one class of vehicle but not mandating larger, less fuel efficient vehicles. We need to use our brains to actually make it work, not play some political game.
Posted by: Kevin Hill
|
|
23-Apr-2006
19317
| |
Just stop paying subsidies to big oil and let the price be the real price we pay right at the pump.
(April 14, 2006), that means at the pump -- if you were paying the full cost -- it would be $11.06 per gallon !
Riding my bicycle never felt so good......
Posted by: jim stACk
|
|
23-Apr-2006
19336
| |
No matter how much sense it makes, no matter how many credible experts testify, no matter how big the mountain of evidence becomes - if it is going to cost the big corporations any money or in any way negatively effect their bottom line - our legislators will do nothing. They are too short-sighted - they will only look into the future as far as the next election.
Posted by: Eric Andersern
|
|
24-Apr-2006
19346
| |
Hey, this author's sayin' what I've been postin' all along: 1)..the gov. should keep a minimal price limit for retail petrol so as to encourage on-going investment in renewable energy. 2)..tax rebate or incentive for buyers of fuel-efficient vehicles in proportion to the magnitude of the gain the mpg.... The good news is that technology is around the corner. The 94mpg 2008 Prius and the 150mpg Loremo can be converted to FFV (flexible fuel vehicle) capable of using also easily-produced -in-large-quantity renewable fuels such as hydrogen from solar and wind, and synfuel from gasification of biomass. Honda is producing home apparatus for compressing and fuel of natural gas and hydrogen. Until widespread filling stations will be available, each car can also carry a 3-5-gallon gasoline fuel tank for use in trips away from home. And let's not forget that advanced battery technology for PHEV is also around the corner.
Posted by: Roger Pham
|
|
24-Apr-2006
19350
| |
Why has there not been any research in E85 Brazil is independent but we can't be? I don't even want to think about the year 2010. The technologies are there more than what we can imagine but when I listen to the experts and I hear their comments about alternative fuel I just hear a lot of pessimistic attitudes instead of an optimistic attitudes. what I believe should come into play is put our thoughts together and create our own fuel whether it be hydrogen electricity or even our own waste. We need to come together unite and take control now!
Posted by: Osama Bin Laden
|
|
24-Apr-2006
19387
| |
The best future energy strategy (as I see it) is electricity and renewable methane. First of all, no infrastructure changes. Second, it makes efficient use of biomass. (Biomass converted to methane provides about twice the energy compared with making ethanol, plus its a much simpler process).
But there's not much biomass, so eventually that will become in short supply. Well, if you have to, you can synthesize methane CH4 from electrolyzed hydrogen and CO2 (we have plenty of that around.)
Overall, if you have a plug-in hybrid (PHEV-20) running on renewable methane and electricity, you'd end up paying about $2 per gallon equivalent assuming ALL your energy came from $0.06 per kiloWatt-hr electricity. This is synthesizing methane from electrolyzed hydrogen. If you got it from biomass, it would be even less expensive.
Posted by: Jim Beyer
|
|
24-Apr-2006
19443
| |
Hey, Osama, who are "we" that you are referring to? If you are of 911 fame (or shame) then you ain't one of us!
Well, Jim, I'm glad that we agree on the point that biomass conversion to methane will be a lot cheaper than ethanol conversiion. But, if additional hydrogen from solar or wind generator will be needed, then why not just add directly the hydrogen to the methane and call it Hythane (tm)? A detector in the fuel line of the engine can tell the percentage of each and adjust the mixture accordingly, on the fly. Running on renewable Hythane, your fuel bill might well be $1.3-1.5 per gallon equivalent instead of $2 USD, since no conversion from hydrogen to methane will be necessary.
Posted by: Roger Pham
|
|
25-Apr-2006
19464
| |
Hello Roger,
I want to make an effort to say that we should not let the tyranny of small differences come between us. Hythane (tm) is also valid. I don't think the bill would change too much, as the bulk of the hit occurs with the electrolyzer. Conversion to methane is a 20% expense. Hmm, let's see if I can remember the numbers.
Assume 7 kw-hrs electric is the same as a gallon of gasoline. With charging efficiency, that costs you about 50 cents. A gallon equivalent of hydrogen is about 40 kw-hrs. Add in electrolyzer efficiency and methanation, you come up with about 70 kw-hrs of electricty needed (yikes!) or about $4.20 per galllon-equivalent. But not to worry, you only use the fuel about 20% of the time.
So the net (mixed) cost is (.5x.8)+(4.2x.2) = .4 + .84 = $1.25. Hey! There's even 75 cents let to pay for electrolyzer, etc. Really not so bad, huh?
A downside is amortizing the cost of batteries, but there is some hope in that department too.
So methane or hythane, there's probably a way out.
I'd say use hydrogen if you are going to use it within a week, after that, better off making methane. How's that for a compromise, Roger?
Posted by: Jim Beyer
|
|
26-Apr-2006
19557
| |
This report needs to be published on the front page of every newspaper and news website in the USA. Maybe the sticker shock would bring some people to their senses.
Posted by: B 100
|
|
|
|
|